Friday, September 27, 2013

Today's Interest Rate Forecast



Yesterday saw the MBS markets give back 24 basis points, meaning that rates should remain unchanged but there is a small deterioration to rebate pricing.  Even though economic news was released yesterday that should have caused an MBS sell off, we saw bonds hold their ground because of the looming government shutdown and discussions on raising the debt ceiling.   
 Today's Interest Rate Market Forecast must focus on watching which way the market breaks.  If the MBS market continues to improve, we could see rates go down some more.  However, if this rally dies off as the technical indicators point out that we are due for a reversal, and that the market is ripe for a sell off. 

Next week we will probably see the volatility rise again as we get economic data on jobs and we see where the chips fall on the politics in Washington D.C.

Today is a full slate of economic data releases that can potentially move the markets.  Work closely with your Most Trusted Mortgage Loan Professional to stay ahead of lender repricing for the worse in case of negative MBS performance.

-Michael Corboy
www.specialtyfinancialmtg.com

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